Saturday, June 19, 2021

STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (95)

Continued from STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (94)


STI -- ((3)) or ((5)) (Positive Scenario)


Nothing much should have changed for this wave count as its still too early to end the Intermediate wave ((iv)) of Primary wave 1 scenario.  This scenario is for the die-hard who still believe the worst is over in March 2020.  However, as noted in past analysis, this scenario has lot of doubts as indicated in the chart above.  Moreover, in previous analysis when looking into the various sub levels (Minor and Minute degree) there already exist conflict in the wave count.  Ignoring those conflicts, still unable to invalidate this wave count as there isn't any rule violations.  The immediate rule violation is waiting for Intermediate ((iv)) to overlap Intermediate wave ((i)) at 2,839.39.


STI -- ((Y)) or ((2)) or ((4)) (Negative Scenario)


There shouldn't be drastic change in this scenario too given it is the Primary or Cycle degree it is about.  STI just at the early phase of these degrees.  The drop from 3,237.23 to 3,023.95 and rebound to 3,194.19 looks like the Minor (a) and (b) of an Intermediate, Primary and Cycle degree.  The development so far could be the Minor wave of an Intermediate wave ((i)) of the Primary wave 5 or could be the Intermediate wave ((a)) of a Primary wave A of the Cycle wave (C).  The difference between these 2 situations is the duration of the end point.  For the Primary wave 5 case, the end point should be within this year while the other case could span to either 2022 or 2023.


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