I developed an AI Trading app, am using it everyday

This is the app that I developed and use it everyday for trading !

Since developing the AI Ichimoku app that used to analyze stock market (refer here), was curious is it possible to use AI to predict the direction of stock price for the next time instance, up or down.  Guessing up or down is practically a 50% probability well sometime 1/3 probability since price can remain the same at the next time instance.  So, I went ahead to develop an app, AI UpDown to try to predict the outcome with the help of technical indicators.  Pure guessing is 50% chance, with the help of TA unfortunately won't get you 100% accuracy, a 60% - 70% is considered very good performance already.

Above is the AI UpDown app that used to predict direction of STI at an interval of 15min.  As seen, after 2 hours of prediction, accuracy is 75% and that pretty good performance as a whole.  Then there are instances, the prediction accuracy is low like 50%+.  This applies to stock like most of SGX listed stocks that even after hours, price still remain unchanged.  Well, that pretty much within my expectation though.  With this and the foundation of AI Ichimoku (used for EOD analysis), was thinking to develop an AI app that use for intraday trading shouldn't be a problem.  The AI should be able to predict a long or short position almost real time.  So after weeks of writing the codes, testing and debugging, the AI Intraday app finally done.  Next incorporate together with AI Ichimoku and AI UpDown to form the AI Trading System.  Now, let see the performance of the AI Intraday app.

Above showed all the successful trades from the AI prediction.  It can handle Forex, SG stocks, US stocks and Cryptocurrency effectively.  For every AI prediction of a position, long or short, it will also accompany with a profit and stop loss level.  The P&L levels are dynamic unlike the norm of a fixed percentage.  This is to cater and reflect the volatility of the entity.  The AI with the help of technical indicators as feature engineering is being trained to learn of the dynamically computed profit and loss level to make the prediction for either a long or short position.  While, the prediction is updated every 15min, it is just almost real time.  It is not real time as the data feed is not real time and on average a 15min delay.  Then, it doesn't matter as just strictly stick to the P&L levels that was computed at the instance at which the prediction was made.

Above showed failed prediction by the AI.  This is expected as even AI can't achieve 100% accuracy.  AI basically used trained data and make prediction of what's next.  The prediction is a probability of occurring and not a simply True/False or Yes/No.  So next time when you use AI, don't take it for granted.  What commercial AI will not reflect to users is the actual probability of the prediction.  A 60% chance of accuracy is a big difference than a 80% of accuracy.  Nevertheless, that is commercial AI issue.  In the AI Trading System, the probability of the trade is shown so user can decide whether or not to follow it.  Should it follow, it should strictly adhere to the P&L level to take profit and stop-loss.  This is proper risk management.

A little note is the probability of the long or short position prediction is mostly in the range of 50% to 60%+.  Firstly, the app only allow probability of at least 50% to filter through.  There is reason as why it is capped at 60%+ too.  In predicting a position, it is not just long or short but long, short and hold.  As in stock market, 70%-80% of the time is hold with merely 10% - 15% of the time is buy or sell.  Thus, in a relatively biased system, a 60% probability to predict the minority class (buy or sell) is considered very good performance already.

Background and Historical Facts

1. Around 2H2024, in an attempt to use the SkillsFuture credit before it expires in Dec 2025, I was snubbed by the snobbish SMU from attending the Ichimoku Technical Analysis course as I didn't attend the Basic Technical Analysis course conducted by them.  Despite reasoning that I'm not novice to technical analysis and am able to even use Elliott Wave to analyze stock market, they still continue the snub.

2. Around end Jan 2025 when China's Deepseek AI shocked the world with its performance, I was inspired with it and couple with feeling unjustified and anger from the snobbish SMU's snub, decided to embark on a journey to develop an Ichimoku AI System to predict when to buy or sell in stock market.

3. Around mid Feb 2025, with the assist from Deepseek given the fact programming is not my major but I do possess the basic essential knowledge of programming (well few years ago, I did develop an app to calculate Elliott Wave), I have completed the automation version of the Ichimoku system.  This has provided me the platform to develop the AI version.

4. By mid Mar 2025, the first version of the Ichimoku AI System has completed and was able to predict buy and sell signals with average or slightly above average accuracy.  That was used in the post dated 27th Mar 2025 to predict STI direction.

5. In order to increase the accuracy and performance of the AI prediction, additional features and enhancements were made that led to v2.3 of the app being completed in first week of Apr 2025 to carry out the 2nd analysis on STI (this post)

6. Pass the first real test in predicting STI crash in the 1st week of Apr 2025.  Prediction of selling signals started at least 5 months prior to the crash.

7. App upgraded to v2.4 after modifications made to be able to fine tune AI model's parameters to provide better prediction in Apr 2025

8. Started to develop the AI UpDown to make prediction of direction, up or down for the next time instance in May 2025

9. 2 weeks after the AI UpDown, started developing the AI Intraday app to make prediction for long or short position coupled with profit and stop-loss level for almost real time intraday trading

10. After weeks or debugging, testing and enhancement, the AI Intraday together with AI UpDown and AI Ichimoku were integrated together to form the AI Trading System in June 2025