Saturday, June 25, 2022

STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (106)

Continued from STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (105)


 FTSE STI closed at 3,111.65 for the week ended 24th Jun 2022 after hitting a peak of 3,466.23 on 17th Feb 2022.


Magenta -- STI Positive




In previous analysis was said STI in this positive wave count in undergoing Primary wave 2, a deep correction typically.  From the above chart and looking at the index movement since the top at 3,456.09 on 29th Mar 2022 (end of Primary wave 1), it appears a little 5 wave in the Minor degree could be completed and that shall become the Intermediate ((a)) of the Primary wave 2.  A rebound in the coming weeks should confirm that.  Should a rebound occur, don't be happy, worst is not over as the last wave down Intermediate wave ((c)) still need to be completed for Primary wave 2 to end.  The possible destination for Primary wave 2 as mentioned in previous analysis is between 2,475 to 2,832.


STI Negative -- Green / STI Negative -- Orange



The Negative wave count is a silent killer and believe majority of the people will think the correct wave count is the Positive scenario in which STI is in Primary wave 2 and the downside won't get worse than March 2020 low of 2,208.42.  The above illustrate a trajectory for this Negative scenario (STI Negative -- Green).  The appear Minor degree 5 wave down at the moment shall be the Intermediate wave ((a)) of Primary wave A of Cycle wave (C) of the SuperCycle ((C)).  It will have more downside to come before hitting the bottom.  This also where majority of the investors will be trapped firstly in Intermediate wave ((b)) (coming weeks) and then next Primary wave B



Above is the overall picture of the wave count for both the Positive and Negative scenario.


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Singapore Covid-19


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是否缺远见拥有
是否不知怎拥有
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Tuesday, May 31, 2022

Portfolio -- May 2022


Investment Portfolio


1. Entitled to MapletreeInd scrip or cash dividend of 3.49 cents/unit
2. Received Genting dividend of 1 cents/share  
3. Received Frasers Cpt Trust dividend of 6.136 cents/unit 
4. Increased Fu Yu holding by 20% at $0 cost
5. Received Fu Yu dividend of 1.25 cents/share  
6. Received InnoTek dividend of 2 cents/share 
7. Increased Fu Yu holding by 5.56% at $0 cost
8. Divested Genting at average $0.79/share netting Realized Gain +88.22% (Capital Return +47.76%, Dividend Return +40.46%)
9. Portfolio Realized Gain increased from +16.87% to +20.04%, Cash Holding increased from +66.54% to +73.18%


StockHolding Price*Market PriceUnrealized Profit/LossDividend Return
Income
CapitaMall Trust$1.155$2.19+87.22%+112.50%
MapletreeInd Trust$0.9588$2.48+157.55%+85.65%
Kep DC Reit$0.9946$2.06+106.48%+47.41%
Frasers Cpt Trust$1.6908$2.34+37.45%+31.88%
Lendlease Reit--$0.8282.00 cents/share16.3201 cents
Unrealized

+103.68%+64.10%
Strategic
Genting SP$0.5314$0.79+47.76%+40.46%
KepCorp$7.4156$6.1673-17.20%+52.54%
InnoTek--$0.54554.50 cents/share2.0 cents
Fu Yu--$0.26526.50 cents/share4.95 cents
STI ETF$2.3423$3.311+34.39%+7.31%
Unrealized

-9.74%+51.73%
Blockchain
Crypto    

+3.55%
Variant (Value, Quantity)

-31.03%, +31.96% 

Unrealized

+3.55 
(% Income cost)

Summary
Total Unrealized**
+16.49%--
Total Realized (Strategic)**
+639.12%
+122.94% 
(% Income cost)
+54.89%
85.256 cents/unit
Total Realized (Portfolio)**
+20.04%+69.29%
Cash----+73.18%--
Total Portfolio***
+105.82%--
Portfolio Variant

-1.13%
STI29/4/2022 = 3356.9031/5/2022 = 3232.49    Change = -3.71%


Stock Incubator Portfolio


1.  Received Nordic dividend of 0.76 cents/share
2.  Increased Nordic holding by +0.78% at $0 cost, reducing holding price from $0.0927/share to $0.0922/share



Stock Holding Price*Market PriceUnrealized Profit/LossDividend Return
Nordic$0.0922$0.4092+342.04%+81.05%
Valuetronics--$0.535--HK 117 cents/share
Creative$3.3805$2.21-33.59%
Unrealized

+175.19%+46.42%
Summary
Total Unrealized **--+63.74%--
Total Realized **
+32.29%+19.98%
Cash----+63.62%--
Total Portfolio    ***
+116.02%--
Portfolio Variant 

+2.96%
STI29/4/2022 = 3356.90    31/5/2022 =  3232.49Change = -3.71%


* = Initial Buy Price + Average on Right Issue
** =  Unrealized or Realized gain/loss in term of percentage with reference to total investment capital

*** = (total unrealized + total realized) with reference to total investment