Monday, March 21, 2011

Market Analysis -- 21st Mar 11


Since the middle east unrest started in February and then followed by Japan earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis, STI has formed a resistance around the 3,110 level and at the same time STI dropping to an intra-day low of 2,911.

Take a closer look, this might not be a bad situation.  As STI fell from 2,947 to 2,935 from 24th Feb 2011 till last Friday, RSI and Stochastic on the other hand forming a higher low which diverge from STI trend hence creating a positive divergence.  Furthermore, STI might be forming an inverting head-shoulder formation with the left shoulder already formed and half of the head created.  If the inverted head-shoulder formation really valid, the neckline will be at 3,110 and a breakout of the inverted head-shoulder formation will see a target in the area of 3,285.

Now might be too early to confirm the formation of inverted head-shoulder formation but the RSI/Stochastic positive divergence signal is there and this will trigger a rebound on the STI