Saturday, April 24, 2021

STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (92)

Continued from STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (91)


STI -- ((3)) or ((5)) (Postive Scenario)


This wave count has not been invalidated but doubts remain regarding its validity.  All the doubts are shown in red in the above chart.  


STI -- ((Y)) or ((2)) or ((4)) (Negative Scenario)

 


As mentioned in this scenario there ware 2 possible wave counts, labeled in Red and Magenta as shown in the above chart.  Despite STI hitting high of 3,221.85 on 7th Apr 2021, that unfortunately still yet to cause a rule violation in the wave count (Red labeled) that presently STI is in Primary wave 4 of Cycle wave (C) or SuperCycle correction which started in 2007.  The other wave count (Magenta labeled) does not have this restriction as it is in Cycle wave (B) of the SuperCycle correction which started in 2007.  The difference between these 2 wave counts is the time duration.  The Red labeled will have about a year or within a year to complete while the Magenta wave count could take 1 to 2 years to complete.


Looking at current global events including the Covid-19 pandemic, there isn't shortage of those that are biased toward the negative scenario.  Just Covid-19 pandemic alone it can drive the wave count to the negative scenario.  Many, gather from their reaction in social media network (in particular those regularly housing at The Straits Times comment section), unfortunately, have the mindset that once they are vaccinated they will not be infected with Covid-19 virus.  This type of thinking will only lead to complacency, putting the guard down and creates another wave of infection globally.  What is the basic of life science that we all learned in our primary school days ?  

 

Living things react to changes in order to seek for survival

 

Covid-19 virus is a micro-organism just like other living things will react to changes (the protection from vaccination) in the form of mutation in order to seek survival.  Once they overcome the barrier from the vaccination, firstly, the effectiveness of the vaccination will be reduced and secondly, they will start the spreading just like before.  Whether the newly mutated strain is more deadly than the original is something an unknown but it's highly possible that it can be.  Another question which believe majority never think of especially those who have lived through the SARS (2003), swine flu (2009) and MERS (2012) periods.  The Covid-19 mutation rate is fastest than all others.  As of today, we have the UK variant, the South African variant, the Brazilian variant and the Indian variant (double mutant) all happened within 18 months since the first outbreak of Covid-19.  Singapore officially affirmed all the above variants are registered in the infected cases too.  The latest though need further verification is there is another Indian variant (triple mutation) detected.  Already some of the initial research has pointed that some of the variants could easily pass through the most effective vaccination in the market (Pfzier-BioNTech) known as immunity escape.  

All these is on top of the concern of the safety of the vaccination in particular long term side effects.  The vaccination uses the existing technology of mRNA with exception of those still using the conventional method which so far only tested in laboratory.  We do not have a population that a decade ago been vaccinated with this technology and now display no long term side effects.  Even the vaccine makers also can't 100% assure of any possible long term side effects 10 years later.  Another question is how long can the immunity these vaccines bring given these vaccines are less than a year old.

Unless one can prove that the basic of life science is false and go on to win the biggest Nobel Prize award, it will be very wise to shake off that incorrect mindset about the Covid-19 vaccine before things starting to get worse again or already getting worse.



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